Analysis: Does Gun Control Cause Violence or is it just Cold Weather?

2012 Statistics: A Tale of Two Cities and the Effects of Strict Gun Control………


Chicago, IL

Houston, TX

2.7 million
2.15 million
Median   HH Income
%   African-American
%   Hispanic
%   Asian
%   Non-Hispanic White


Chicago has some of the strictest gun control laws of any US city. Chicago and Houston share many demographics and are pretty similar until you compare these 2012 statistics regarding gun ownership and gun control:


Chicago, IL

Houston, TX

Concealed Carry Gun Law



# of Gun Stores

18 outside of Chicago City limits in the suburbs within a 10-15 miles. Chicago city downtown does not have any gun stores.

84 – Dedicated gun   stores plus 1500 other legal places to buy guns- such as Wal-Mart, K-mart, sporting goods, etc.

Homicides,  2012



Homicides per 100K



Avg.   January high temperature (F)



And the Conclusion:     COLD weather causes murder…unless it is actually Gun control! 

October 2014 update: Since this article was first posted, Chicago passed a concealed carry law due to pressure by it’s citizens and the election of conservative lawmakers.  The result, based on an article from the Washington times:  “Chicago’s crime rate has dropped since Illinois became the 50th state in the nation to adopt a concealed carry law last year, the Washington Times reported. Robberies are down 20 percent this year, according to Chicago Police Department statistics. Burglaries are also down 20 percent, while motor vehicle thefts are down 26 percent. Chicago Police Department Superintendent Garry McCarthy attributed the decrease to “intelligent policing strategies” and said cops confiscated more than 1,300 illegal guns in the first quarter of the year.

But Richard Pearson, executive director of the Illinois State Rifle Association, said it’s clear to him what’s driving the decrease — and it’s not the police. He said the department “hasn’t changed a single tactic.” “It isn’t any coincidence crime rates started to go down when concealed carry was permitted. Just the idea that the criminals don’t know who’s armed and who isn’t has a deterrence effect,” Pearson told the Times.

“By July 29, Illinois had 83,183 applications for concealed carry and had issued 68,549 licenses, the Times reported. Pearson predicted that 100,000 Illinois citizens will have concealed carry permits by the end of 2014.”  It is clear from the experience in many states that gun control only makes it easier for criminals to commit crimes because they need not fear that their law abiding victims will be armed.  As soon as citizens are armed, criminals have to face the uncertainty that comes from the possibility that their victims may defend themselves.  Criminals prefer gun free zones because it gives them an advantage. Because criminals don’t care about laws, gun control only makes it more difficult for the law abiding citizens to secure their homes and property.